FC Telavi vs FC Iberia 1999 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
51.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
9º
9º
49
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 71 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 68 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 64 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 54 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 48 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 46 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 34 |
8º
|
42% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 33 |
9º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 27 |
10º
|
76.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 9% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 86.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
11.5% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
76.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
12% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Telavi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
TEL
0 - 0
FTK
23%
28%
49%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
TEL
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 1
TEL
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
TEL
1 - 0
GAG
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
KOL
3 - 1
TEL
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Iberia 1999
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 3
SAB
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
SAB
3 - 1
GAG
73%
18%
10%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 2
SAB
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
SAB
3 - 0
DBA
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
GOR
3 - 1
SAB
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |