FC Telavi vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
26.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
10º
8º
38
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Telavi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
TEL
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SAB
0 - 1
TEL
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
TEL
1 - 1
GOR
22%
27%
51%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
DTB
1 - 1
TEL
79%
15%
6%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TEL
0 - 2
DBA
16%
26%
58%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
GAG
3 - 4
SAM
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
GAG
4 - 1
SIO
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2022 |
SPA
3 - 1
GAG
41%
23%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
GAG
2 - 0
SPA
33%
22%
45%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
DTB
2 - 1
GAG
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |