FC Tallinn vs Tartu Welco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
6º
5º
48
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 78 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 70 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 69 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 62 |
4º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 49 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 48 |
6º
|
40% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
82% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 24 |
9º
|
82.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 19 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 96% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Tallinn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
LEV
0 - 1
FCT
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
FCT
4 - 0
FCE
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
FCT
8 - 1
PAI
66%
18%
16%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
TAB
1 - 2
FCT
37%
23%
39%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FCT
3 - 2
TKA
59%
21%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tartu Welco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
0 - 0
FCE
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
TAB
1 - 3
WEL
31%
24%
46%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 2
WEL
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 1
PAI
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WEL
0 - 2
HJP
46%
25%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |