FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
6º
5º
25
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 78 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 70 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 69 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 62 |
4º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 49 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 48 |
6º
|
40% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
82% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 24 |
9º
|
82.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 19 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 82% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Tallinn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FCT
3 - 0
PAI
72%
16%
12%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 4
FCT
62%
20%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 2
VJK
46%
25%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
HJP
1 - 1
FCT
58%
21%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 1
WEL
47%
24%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tallinna Kalev II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 3
TKA
79%
13%
8%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TKA
2 - 2
FCE
58%
21%
21%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HJP
3 - 3
TKA
77%
15%
9%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
TKA
3 - 5
PAI
66%
17%
17%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
5 - 2
TKA
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |