FC Tallinn vs FC Elva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
11.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
6º
5º
30
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 75 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 72 |
2º
|
51.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 70 |
3º
|
56.5% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 62 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 52 |
5º
|
74.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
7º
|
52% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
73.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 24 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 20 |
10º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 80.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 19.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Tallinn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
FCT
8 - 1
PAI
66%
18%
16%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
TAB
1 - 2
FCT
37%
23%
39%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FCT
3 - 2
TKA
59%
21%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCE
2 - 3
FCT
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FCT
3 - 4
LEV
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Elva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
FCE
0 - 2
VJK
23%
26%
51%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TKA
4 - 0
FCE
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FCE
2 - 2
FLO
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCE
2 - 3
FCT
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HJP
5 - 0
FCE
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |