FC Sursee vs SC Emmen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
22.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
16º
5º
36
1º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
LOC
2 - 2
FCS
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 2
FCC
34%
22%
44%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 1
LUZ
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
RSZ
9 - 0
FCS
59%
21%
21%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
BUO
0 - 0
FCS
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SC Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SCE
2 - 1
FCC
37%
24%
39%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
GOL
1 - 2
SCE
66%
17%
17%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
SCE
2 - 2
FCU
43%
22%
35%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PER
0 - 2
SCE
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SCE
3 - 5
BUO
29%
21%
50%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |