FC Sursee vs SC Cham 2 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
21.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
16º
5º
35
5º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BRU
3 - 2
FCS
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 1
FCC
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
PER
1 - 2
FCS
37%
23%
40%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
GOL
0 - 2
FCS
28%
21%
50%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 0
FCU
53%
21%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
SC Cham 2
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
FCC
41%
24%
34%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GOL
1 - 0
CHA
39%
21%
40%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 2
FCU
46%
23%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
PER
2 - 1
CHA
45%
22%
33%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
SCE
57%
21%
23%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |