FC Sursee vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
BUO
1 - 1
FCS
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
EMM
1 - 1
FCS
26%
24%
50%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 1
RUS
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ESC
0 - 4
FCS
30%
24%
46%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
FCS
2 - 1
GOL
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 3
RUS
53%
21%
26%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ASC
2 - 0
SAR
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
GUN
2 - 1
SAR
25%
22%
52%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 0
GOL
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
LUZ
1 - 1
SAR
21%
22%
57%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |