FC Sursee vs Red Star Zürich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
62.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
16º
5º
42
2º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ZUG
2 - 2
FCS
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 2
ASC
50%
22%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 1
FCS
53%
21%
26%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 3
BRU
31%
22%
47%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 0
BUO
34%
21%
44%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star Zürich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RSZ
0 - 2
FCC
76%
16%
9%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GOL
0 - 2
RSZ
26%
22%
51%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
RSZ
0 - 0
FCU
68%
17%
15%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PER
1 - 2
RSZ
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
RSZ
0 - 0
SCE
73%
15%
12%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |