FC Sursee vs Luzern II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
68.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
BAD
3 - 1
FCS
71%
17%
13%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
FCS
2 - 1
DEL
28%
23%
49%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
FCS
2 - 1
SCH
28%
22%
51%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
MUN
3 - 2
FCS
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
FCS
2 - 1
WAN
41%
23%
36%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
LUZ
3 - 2
BLA
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
LAN
1 - 5
LUZ
26%
22%
52%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
LUZ
0 - 1
LAN
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
LAN
0 - 0
LUZ
28%
23%
49%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
LUZ
2 - 0
WAN
81%
12%
6%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |