FC Sursee vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
22.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
13º
12º
31
7º
12º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ESC
0 - 1
FCS
17%
20%
63%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 3
MEN
37%
24%
39%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCC
2 - 2
FCS
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
HER
0 - 2
FCS
54%
21%
25%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 2
FCS
48%
23%
29%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
IBA
2 - 1
LUZ
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
IBA
0 - 5
ASC
33%
24%
43%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ESC
1 - 4
IBA
22%
22%
56%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
IBA
0 - 1
MEN
29%
25%
46%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCC
1 - 2
IBA
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |