FC Sursee vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2012 |
LSS
1 - 2
FCS
27%
25%
48%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
HER
0 - 1
FCS
59%
21%
21%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
FCS
1 - 2
ESC
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
FCS
3 - 0
EMM
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
FCB
0 - 0
FCS
41%
24%
36%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
IBA
0 - 1
FCA
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
IBA
2 - 4
HER
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
ESC
3 - 2
IBA
28%
24%
48%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
IBA
0 - 1
LSS
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
EMM
1 - 4
IBA
43%
23%
33%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |