FC Sursee vs Baar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
VED
2 - 1
FCS
20%
22%
58%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
FCS
4 - 2
BUO
43%
24%
34%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 1
FCS
42%
23%
34%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
FCS
1 - 1
RUS
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
ZUG
2 - 0
FCS
58%
20%
21%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Baar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FCB
4 - 2
IBA
30%
24%
47%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
FCB
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FCB
2 - 0
ESC
39%
24%
38%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LSS
0 - 2
FCB
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
FCB
2 - 4
EMM
36%
25%
40%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |