FC Sursee vs Emmenbrücke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
FCB
0 - 0
FCS
41%
24%
36%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
FCS
3 - 2
VED
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BUO
2 - 0
FCS
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FCS
4 - 2
SAR
41%
24%
36%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
RUS
1 - 1
FCS
32%
24%
44%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Emmenbrücke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
EMM
1 - 4
IBA
43%
23%
33%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
HER
2 - 5
EMM
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
EMM
4 - 0
ESC
60%
20%
20%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
LSS
0 - 2
EMM
51%
22%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
EMM
2 - 2
FCA
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |