FC Sursee vs Emmenbrücke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
IBA
2 - 0
FCS
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FCS
0 - 0
TAV
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FCA
1 - 2
FCS
41%
24%
36%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
FCS
0 - 2
GOL
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ESC
0 - 1
FCS
39%
24%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Emmenbrücke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
EMM
2 - 1
LSS
33%
23%
44%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
EMM
1 - 1
IBA
47%
23%
30%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
TAV
0 - 2
EMM
46%
24%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
EMM
2 - 3
FCA
54%
22%
24%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GOL
4 - 1
EMM
49%
23%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |