FC Sursee vs Buochs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
44.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
16º
5º
37
5º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 1
FCS
56%
23%
21%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 6
GOL
42%
21%
37%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FCU
1 - 2
FCS
72%
16%
12%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 5
PER
46%
23%
32%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
IBA
0 - 1
FCS
37%
23%
40%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BUO
1 - 1
ZOF
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FCC
2 - 0
BUO
36%
24%
41%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BUO
3 - 3
LUZ
44%
23%
33%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GOL
2 - 1
BUO
33%
20%
47%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
ESC
0 - 2
BUO
9%
14%
78%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |