FC Sursee vs Black Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
65%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BUO
1 - 0
FCS
76%
14%
9%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
FCS
1 - 2
BAS
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
DEL
2 - 1
FCS
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SCH
3 - 2
FCS
71%
16%
12%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FCS
0 - 1
MUN
23%
23%
54%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Black Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BLA
3 - 0
SOL
56%
21%
24%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
THU
1 - 3
BLA
31%
23%
46%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
FCM
3 - 3
BLA
29%
23%
48%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BUO
0 - 1
BLA
42%
23%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +3 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 2
BLA
19%
21%
61%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -2 |