FC Sursee vs Black Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
51.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
THU
0 - 0
FCS
53%
23%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
FCS
3 - 3
ZOF
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
FCG
3 - 1
FCS
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
GRA
2 - 1
FCS
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
FCS
1 - 1
NEX
12%
20%
68%
|
32 | 65 | 33 | +1 |
Matches
Black Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
BLA
1 - 4
NEX
12%
20%
68%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LUZ
3 - 2
BLA
40%
24%
36%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BLA
0 - 1
WAN
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MUN
1 - 3
BLA
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SCH
2 - 3
BLA
36%
24%
40%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |