FC Sursee vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
33.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
13º
12º
39
2º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BRU
3 - 2
FCS
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ZUG
2 - 1
FCS
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SCE
4 - 1
FCS
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 1
FCS
12%
16%
72%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
PER
0 - 2
FCS
54%
22%
24%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ASC
1 - 5
LUZ
52%
22%
25%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ASC
3 - 2
ESC
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MEN
2 - 0
ASC
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ASC
0 - 2
FCC
34%
22%
44%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
HER
0 - 1
ASC
44%
23%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |