FC Sursee vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
FCS
3 - 0
LUZ
80%
14%
7%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
FCB
0 - 3
FCS
22%
23%
55%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FCA
0 - 6
FCS
23%
23%
55%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FCS
3 - 1
IBA
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
HER
2 - 2
FCS
42%
24%
35%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ASC
0 - 3
GOL
50%
22%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LUZ
1 - 1
ASC
31%
24%
45%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
IBA
2 - 1
ASC
45%
24%
32%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ASC
3 - 1
GUN
70%
18%
13%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BUO
4 - 1
ASC
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |