Sumy vs Desna Chernihiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
43.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
MFK
4 - 0
SUM
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
AVA
0 - 2
SUM
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ILL
5 - 1
SUM
71%
19%
11%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
SUM
1 - 2
KOL
26%
28%
46%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
OBO
3 - 2
SUM
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Desna Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
AVA
0 - 2
DES
26%
30%
44%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
DES
0 - 4
KOL
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TER
0 - 2
DES
24%
28%
48%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
DES
0 - 0
FCV
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
BUK
0 - 1
DES
25%
30%
45%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |