FC Suhareka vs Dukagjini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
60.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+142%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
7º
5º
6
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
9 | 16 |
1º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 16 |
2º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 14 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 14 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
|
1º
|
13 | 14 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 13 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 9 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 9 |
8º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 5 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 1 |
10º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
11% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
36% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
53% | 55% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 29% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 16% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Suhareka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PRI
0 - 0
SUH
73%
18%
9%
|
14 | 72 | 58 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
VOK
0 - 1
SUH
80%
14%
6%
|
13 | 55 | 42 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
KFB
2 - 2
SUH
83%
12%
5%
|
13 | 72 | 59 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
SUH
0 - 1
KFB
5%
12%
84%
|
13 | 72 | 59 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
VJO
0 - 1
SUH
37%
22%
41%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dukagjini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
KFB
2 - 0
KFD
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
KFD
2 - 2
KFK
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 7 | 65 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
KFD
3 - 2
TRM
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FER
3 - 2
KFD
26%
27%
47%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
KFD
1 - 0
PRI
44%
30%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |