FC Südtirol vs Itala S. Marco analysis


46	ELO	27
-14.1%	Tilt	-13.9%
731º	General ELO ranking	21878º
33º	Country ELO ranking	543º
ELO win probability

71.5%

FC Südtirol

18.7%

Draw

9.9%

Itala S. Marco

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

71.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%

18.7%

Draw

0-0

6.8%

1-1

8.7%

2-2

2.8%

3-3

0.4%

4-4

<0%

0

18.7%

9.9%

Win probability

0.62

Expected goals

0-1

4.2%

1-2

2.7%

2-3

0.6%

3-4

0.1%

-1

7.5%

0-2

1.3%

1-3

0.6%

2-4

0.1%

-2

1.9%

0-3

0.3%

1-4

0.1%

2-5

0%

-3

0.4%

0-4

0%

1-5

0%

-4

0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Südtirol

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
14 Sep. 2008	OLB 2 - 3 FCS 47% 27% 26%	47	46	1	0
06 Sep. 2008	FCS 0 - 1 FSD 39% 29% 32%	48	51	3	-1
31 Aug. 2008	VAL 1 - 1 FCS 32% 29% 39%	49	43	6	-1
04 May. 2008	FCS 2 - 1 LEO 39% 28% 33%	49	50	1	0
27 Apr. 2008	ACR 0 - 0 FCS 47% 26% 27%	49	47	2	0