FC Südtirol vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
48.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 1
FCS
17%
24%
60%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
USC
2 - 1
FCS
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
FCS
1 - 1
ACL
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
REN
0 - 0
FCS
27%
27%
46%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FCS
0 - 1
GER
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
USA
0 - 0
MAN
66%
22%
12%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
GER
0 - 3
USA
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
PAV
0 - 2
USA
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
USA
1 - 0
POR
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 1
USA
12%
20%
68%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |