Struga vs Tikvesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
8º
2º
44
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 0
FCS
75%
15%
10%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 1
BRE
19%
21%
60%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 2
AKP
53%
26%
22%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
SWI
2 - 1
FCS
63%
20%
18%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 1
SWI
31%
24%
45%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TIK
1 - 1
VOK
46%
25%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
AKP
2 - 0
TIK
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
TIK
1 - 2
SHK
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GOS
0 - 3
TIK
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TIK
1 - 0
MAK
35%
27%
39%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |