Struga vs KF Shkëndija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
36.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
2º
1º
54
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 99.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 0
BRE
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
RAB
1 - 1
FCS
33%
29%
39%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 2
BRE
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
POB
2 - 0
FCS
16%
27%
58%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 0
FCS
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
SHK
0 - 3
SHK
41%
24%
35%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 1
AKP
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SIL
1 - 1
SHK
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
FKS
0 - 1
SHK
10%
20%
70%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
RAB
2 - 4
SHK
25%
25%
49%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |