Struga vs Shkupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
6º
5º
22
5º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
37 | 44 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 44 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 44 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 39 |
5º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 29 |
6º
|
82.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 23 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 23 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 18 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 17 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 17 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 16 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
FKS
1 - 6
FCS
9%
18%
73%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 1
FCS
24%
27%
48%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 0
AKP
62%
23%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RAB
2 - 0
FCS
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 0
BES
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
XHE
0 - 8
SHK
6%
14%
81%
|
65 | 8 | 57 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SHK
1 - 1
SHK
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SIL
2 - 1
SHK
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SHK
3 - 0
VAR
68%
21%
12%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 0
SHK
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |