Struga vs Gostivar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
6º
5º
35
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
37 | 44 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 44 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 44 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 39 |
5º
|
68.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 29 |
6º
|
82.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 23 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 23 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 18 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 17 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 17 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 16 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1% | 11% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
10.5% | 40% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 49% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
VOK
1 - 1
FCS
29%
27%
45%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 3
SHK
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
FKS
1 - 6
FCS
9%
18%
73%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 1
FCS
24%
27%
48%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 0
AKP
62%
23%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Gostivar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
GOS
3 - 1
SHK
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SIL
1 - 2
GOS
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 1
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TIK
0 - 0
GOS
47%
26%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VOK
0 - 2
GOS
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |