Struga vs AP Brera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
5º
3º
7
2º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 44 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 36 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 35 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 34 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 34 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 31 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 27 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 26 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 26 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 24 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 23 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 20 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
12.5% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
37.5% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
43.5% | 48.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 26% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 21% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RAB
2 - 0
FCS
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 0
BES
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 0
TIK
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
PYU
3 - 1
FCS
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 1
PYU
26%
23%
50%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AKP
0 - 2
SHK
29%
26%
44%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SIL
4 - 0
AKP
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
AKP
3 - 1
VAR
54%
24%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KGE
1 - 1
AKP
12%
19%
69%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
AKP
1 - 1
MAK
52%
22%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |