Struga vs AP Brera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
21.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
8º
2º
39
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
SWI
2 - 1
FCS
63%
20%
18%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 1
SWI
31%
24%
45%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 0
GOS
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
BUD
3 - 4
FCS
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 0
BUD
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
AKP
2 - 0
VOK
46%
25%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
AKP
1 - 0
VAR
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
TEU
2 - 2
AKP
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
AKP
0 - 0
SEL
84%
11%
5%
|
59 | 10 | 49 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
AKP
2 - 2
SIL
40%
28%
33%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |