Stengefort vs Swift Hesperange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
0.7%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
1.7%
5.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
5.7%
92%
Win probability
3.8
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
12%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
19.5%
0-4
11.4%
1-5
4.6%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
16.8%
0-5
8.6%
1-6
2.9%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
12%
0-6
5.5%
1-7
1.6%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
7.3%
0-7
3%
1-8
0.8%
2-9
0.1%
-7
3.8%
0-8
1.4%
1-9
0.3%
2-10
0%
-8
1.8%
0-9
0.6%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.7%
0-10
0.2%
-10
0.2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stengefort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 1
BET
6%
10%
84%
|
19 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
6 - 0
LAP
67%
18%
16%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
BOU
1 - 6
FCS
12%
14%
74%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
3 - 8
MON
4%
9%
88%
|
19 | 58 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 1
UME
24%
20%
56%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 0
SWI
22%
22%
56%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
SWI
4 - 0
FCR
65%
19%
16%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
DIF
0 - 0
SWI
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SWI
5 - 0
VIC
58%
21%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BET
3 - 0
SWI
20%
21%
59%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |