Stengefort vs Bettembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.2%
10%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10%
84.1%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
6.6%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
18.3%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
4.4%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
13.5%
0-5
5.3%
1-6
2.4%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
8.3%
0-6
2.9%
1-7
1.2%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
4.3%
0-7
1.4%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.9%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.8%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stengefort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
6 - 0
LAP
67%
18%
16%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
BOU
1 - 6
FCS
12%
14%
74%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
3 - 8
MON
4%
9%
88%
|
21 | 59 | 38 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 1
UME
24%
20%
56%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
FCS
0 - 6
CBG
9%
14%
77%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Bettembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MAM
1 - 2
BET
45%
23%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BET
1 - 2
LOR
34%
23%
44%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ETZ
1 - 2
BET
46%
24%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BET
4 - 0
JEU
33%
23%
44%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
BET
29%
23%
48%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |