Spinea vs Montebelluna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
53.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montebelluna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
VIR
33%
27%
40%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CAL
5 - 1
MON
76%
16%
9%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
MON
3 - 2
SDA
22%
24%
54%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 0
MON
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
MON
0 - 1
MZN
17%
20%
63%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |