Spinea vs Caldiero Terme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
72.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
DEL
3 - 1
SPI
80%
14%
7%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SPI
0 - 3
MON
25%
22%
53%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Caldiero Terme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 0
GSD
53%
23%
25%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
SAN
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
UAR
1 - 1
CAL
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CAL
5 - 1
MON
76%
16%
9%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 3
CAL
33%
24%
44%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |