Spiez vs Thierrens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
44.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spiez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
FCS
2 - 3
ROM
31%
23%
47%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BAV
3 - 2
FCS
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
LAU
5 - 1
FCS
83%
12%
6%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
DUR
4 - 0
FCS
55%
22%
24%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
POR
3 - 0
FCS
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Thierrens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BUM
0 - 0
THI
44%
22%
34%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
THI
2 - 0
LER
48%
22%
30%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
THI
0 - 2
BAV
19%
21%
61%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BAU
1 - 5
THI
43%
23%
35%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GUM
2 - 2
THI
50%
22%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |