Spiez vs Lerchenfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spiez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
FCS
3 - 4
BAU
56%
21%
23%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
ROM
2 - 2
FCS
59%
21%
21%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
FCS
0 - 3
BAV
23%
22%
55%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
THI
2 - 5
FCS
50%
23%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FCS
2 - 3
GUM
66%
19%
16%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
LER
1 - 0
ROM
43%
22%
34%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BAV
6 - 0
LER
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LER
3 - 1
THI
62%
19%
19%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GUM
7 - 2
LER
36%
24%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
LER
1 - 0
DUR
49%
21%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |