Spiez vs Dürrenast analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
43.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spiez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 3
POR
37%
23%
41%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
SEC
3 - 1
FCS
67%
19%
15%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
FCS
3 - 0
TPA
27%
22%
52%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
BER
2 - 0
FCS
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 1
BUM
38%
22%
40%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dürrenast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
DUR
1 - 2
ROM
50%
23%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
BAV
2 - 3
DUR
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
DUR
4 - 1
THI
36%
24%
41%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
POR
2 - 2
DUR
60%
20%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
GUM
2 - 2
DUR
56%
20%
24%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |