Spiez vs Young Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.9%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.2%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
85.4%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
14%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
19.2%
0-4
9.8%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
12.6%
0-5
5.5%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.7%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
3%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spiez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
FCK
0 - 4
FCS
60%
21%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
FCS
1 - 2
GUM
61%
21%
19%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
DUR
1 - 3
FCS
51%
23%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
FCS
2 - 2
BER
31%
24%
45%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
FAR
0 - 1
FCS
60%
21%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
STU
3 - 0
YOB
50%
24%
27%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
YOB
2 - 2
BAS
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
SIO
2 - 0
YOB
28%
24%
48%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
TOT
4 - 0
YOB
61%
21%
19%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
YOB
1 - 0
ZUR
55%
22%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |