Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 2-4
Spartak Trnava vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
39.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
TNV
2 - 0
RUZ
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
TNV
0 - 1
POD
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
TNV
1 - 1
STJ
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
TRE
2 - 0
TNV
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
STJ
1 - 2
TNV
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FCL
1 - 1
ZUR
31%
26%
44%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BAS
4 - 1
ZUR
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
ZUR
2 - 1
YOB
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
ZUR
0 - 1
HOF
34%
24%
42%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
FCV
1 - 4
ZUR
23%
23%
54%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |