Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 4-2
Spartak Trnava vs Zeta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2011 |
TNV
0 - 0
RUZ
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
NIT
3 - 2
TNV
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2011 |
SBR
3 - 0
TNV
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
TNV
0 - 2
DUK
56%
25%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
TNV
1 - 0
ZIL
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zeta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
ZET
2 - 1
LOV
63%
23%
14%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 3
ZET
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
ZET
0 - 0
SUT
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
MOG
2 - 0
ZET
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
ZET
2 - 2
BUD
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |