Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Spartak Trnava vs Újpest FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1973 |
ZOR
0 - 1
FCS
49%
22%
30%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
FCS
0 - 0
ZOR
65%
18%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
FCS
1 - 0
VKG
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
VKG
1 - 2
FCS
61%
21%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1973 |
DER
2 - 0
FCS
88%
8%
4%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1973 |
UJP
2 - 0
SLB
38%
24%
38%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
SLB
1 - 1
UJP
87%
8%
5%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
UJP
3 - 0
WAT
89%
7%
4%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
WAT
2 - 3
UJP
16%
20%
64%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1973 |
UJP
2 - 2
JUV
44%
24%
31%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |