Spartak Trnava vs Trenčín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
5º
3º
18
3º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 51 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 45 |
2º
|
76.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 43 |
3º
|
79.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 31 |
4º
|
46.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 29 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 27 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 27 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 22 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 21 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 21 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 21 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 18 |
12º
|
64% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 1% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 99% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 0
TNV
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TNV
0 - 3
ASV
12%
21%
67%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 1
TNV
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
3 - 0
TNV
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 1
TNV
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Trenčín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
GAL
4 - 1
TRE
74%
15%
11%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
BOH
4 - 0
TRE
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 1
ZMO
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
SIG
3 - 0
TRE
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
PUC
2 - 2
TRE
16%
20%
64%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |