Champions League 1/16
Global 5-3
Spartak Trnava vs FCSB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
STB
3 - 1
TNV
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1967 |
TNV
1 - 3
TOR
55%
20%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1967 |
TOR
3 - 0
TNV
49%
21%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1967 |
TNV
2 - 0
LAU
59%
19%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
LAU
3 - 2
TNV
48%
21%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
PRO
1 - 3
STB
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
ASA
3 - 2
STB
43%
23%
34%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
STB
3 - 1
TNV
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
STB
5 - 3
UCL
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
FCU
1 - 1
STB
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |