Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 3-2
Spartak Trnava vs Dnipro-1 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
45.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
TNV
2 - 0
POD
43%
26%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
TNV
3 - 1
LPO
42%
26%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
LPO
2 - 1
TNV
50%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ZMO
1 - 1
TNV
25%
27%
48%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
TNV
4 - 1
AUD
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Dnipro-1
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SKD
1 - 2
OBO
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
SKD
1 - 1
SLP
42%
23%
35%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 1
SKD
12%
21%
68%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
SLP
3 - 0
SKD
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SKD
2 - 1
POL
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |