Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 2-2
Spartak Trnava vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1969 |
GAL
1 - 0
TNV
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
TNV
1 - 0
GAL
47%
23%
30%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
TNV
4 - 0
HIB
70%
16%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
HIB
2 - 2
TNV
37%
22%
41%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1969 |
TNV
2 - 0
AJA
27%
23%
50%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1970 |
MAR
5 - 1
ANG
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1970 |
MAR
5 - 0
SED
51%
24%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1970 |
NÎM
3 - 0
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1970 |
MAR
1 - 0
AJA
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1970 |
STR
1 - 2
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |