Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 3-3
Spartak Trnava vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
ZIL
4 - 2
TNV
69%
19%
13%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
LPL
2 - 0
TNV
41%
25%
33%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
TNV
2 - 0
SER
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
TNV
2 - 0
RAD
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
RAD
2 - 0
TNV
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
BVR
1 - 4
LPL
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
LPL
2 - 0
TNV
41%
25%
33%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
LPL
3 - 2
SSO
40%
27%
34%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
CVA
3 - 1
LPL
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
LUD
2 - 0
LPL
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |