Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-3
Spartak Trnava vs Lausanne Sports analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
22.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
LAU
3 - 2
TNV
48%
21%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lausanne Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
LAU
3 - 2
TNV
48%
21%
31%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1966 |
BUR
5 - 0
LAU
77%
14%
9%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1966 |
LAU
1 - 3
BUR
33%
24%
44%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1965 |
SPA
4 - 0
LAU
72%
16%
13%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1965 |
LAU
0 - 0
SPA
45%
23%
33%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |