Europa League 1/64
Global 2-4
Spartak Trnava vs Grazer AK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
PET
2 - 1
TNV
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1999 |
SBR
1 - 2
TNV
8%
21%
71%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
TNV
1 - 0
RUZ
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1999 |
GRA
3 - 0
TNV
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
FUT
1 - 0
TNV
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Grazer AK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
SCA
1 - 4
GRA
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
GRA
0 - 0
RIE
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1999 |
GRA
3 - 0
TNV
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
AUS
5 - 2
GRA
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
GRA
3 - 1
RAP
49%
26%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |