Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Spartak Trnava vs Dukla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
SBR
0 - 1
TNV
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SMY
2 - 2
TNV
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
DUK
2 - 1
TNV
41%
27%
33%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TNV
1 - 2
ZIL
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
KOS
1 - 0
TNV
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Dukla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ZMO
2 - 0
DUK
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
DUK
2 - 1
TNV
41%
27%
33%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 1
DUK
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
DUK
1 - 2
SEN
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
DUK
1 - 1
SBR
33%
29%
38%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |