Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Spartak Trnava vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
48.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
AND
0 - 1
TNV
81%
12%
7%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
TNV
1 - 0
AND
31%
24%
45%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
TNV
2 - 2
DBU
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
DBU
0 - 0
TNV
70%
15%
15%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1970 |
KOL
3 - 0
TNV
80%
13%
8%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1973 |
DER
2 - 3
LEE
38%
27%
35%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1973 |
NEW
2 - 0
DER
49%
26%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1973 |
DER
4 - 2
QPR
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1973 |
DER
4 - 0
SOU
69%
19%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1973 |
DER
0 - 3
STO
72%
17%
10%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |